Supercomputer Predicts 2025–26 Premier League Table After Arsenal Thump Tottenham

London – Arsenal’s 4–1 demolition of Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday has not only restored their five-point lead at the summit of the Premier League; it has also convinced Opta’s forecasting supercomputer that the title is heading back to north London for the first time in more than two decades.

The Gunners’ biggest league win at Spurs since 1978 arrived only four days after a chastening defeat at Wolverhampton Wanderers, a sequence manager Mikel Arteta insisted his squad “needed to go through” in order to reveal their mettle. “We have managed today,” Arteta said, reflecting on a derby in which his side shrugged off a 1–1 half-time deadlock to rattle off three unanswered second-half goals.

Opta’s model now assigns Arsenal an 82.33 % probability of lifting the trophy in May, a seismic shift that leaves perennial champions Manchester City trailing on 16.92 %. Pep Guardiola’s side, labouring to a 2–1 victory over Newcastle on Saturday, were promptly granted three days off by their manager, who joked he might not even watch the north London showdown. Had he tuned in, Guardiola would have seen a Spurs outfit hamstrung by injuries and currently projected to finish 16th—below newly promoted Leeds United—despite ranking ninth globally in revenue.

The supercomputer’s outlook is scarcely kinder to Liverpool, who crept into sixth after a contentious 1–0 win at Nottingham Forest. Outshot 18-10 and indebted to a second-half strike from Alexis Mac Allister, Arne Slot’s side nevertheless emerged as the analytics favourite to gate-crash the top six alongside Aston Villa and the two title protagonists.

Chelsea’s erratic form sees them slip behind Manchester United in the latest forecast after a 1-1 home draw with newly promoted opposition, Wesley Fofana’s late red card inviting a stoppage-time equaliser. Communication breakdowns from the subsequent corner nearly cost the Blues again, highlighting a defensive frailty that continues to undermine their campaign.

At the opposite end of the table, the model is increasingly convinced that Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley will join the Championship-bound duo. Wolves have collected a paltry three points since early January, while Burnley, though buoyed by a dramatic late comeback against Chelsea, remain odds-on for relegation.

West Ham United, level on points with Nottingham Forest, are given a far better chance of survival thanks to a run that has yielded 11 points from the last six matches—almost double Forest’s return. Nuno Espírito Santo’s resurgent side have lost only once since the second week of January, a record only five teams in the division can better.

For Tottenham, the outlook is bleak. Igor Tudor’s appointment has yet to reverse a spiral that sees Spurs winless in five and sliding toward a bottom-four finish. When asked pre-match whether his new club would stay up, Tudor answered “100 %.” The supercomputer begs to differ, even if an immediate drop remains a minority outcome in its 10,000-season simulation.

With 13 match-days remaining, the title race still carries a mathematical sliver of hope for City, while the scramble for Champions League places and the fight to avoid the drop grow more volatile by the week. Yet if the algorithm is correct, Sunday’s derby may have provided the defining swing in momentum, turning Arsenal’s midweek pain into a springboard for ultimate glory.