Ranking the Ballon d’Or 2025 favourites: Has the Club World Cup changed things?

The Ballon d'Or, football's ultimate individual honour, is always a captivating narrative. As the calendar flips towards 2025, the jostling for position among the world's elite has already begun. But unlike previous cycles, the upcoming FIFA Club World Cup looms large, promising to be a significant, perhaps even decisive, factor in who ultimately lifts the golden ball. This expanded tournament, set to redefine club football's global landscape, offers a new battleground for supremacy, and its impact on the Ballon d'Or race could be profound.

The usual suspects remain firmly in contention, building on their consistent brilliance. Kylian Mbappé, with his electrifying pace and goal-scoring prowess, continues to be a central figure, his club future and Champions League aspirations intrinsically linked to his chances. Erling Haaland, the relentless goal machine, will undoubtedly be judged on his ability to convert domestic dominance into European glory and, crucially, deliver in the biggest moments. Jude Bellingham, enjoying a sensational start to his Real Madrid career, has quickly elevated himself into the conversation, his blend of midfield mastery, goal contributions, and leadership making him a compelling candidate. Vinicius Jr., another Real Madrid talisman, continues to dazzle with his directness and game-changing ability, particularly on the grand European stage. Their performances in the Champions League, domestic leagues, and any international tournaments will form the bedrock of their campaigns.